A severe potential is forecast for portions of southern lower Michigan. An organizing convective cluster may produce severe wind gusts or hail overnight and into the morning. The probability of a watch issuance is 40 percent.

Recent radar trends indicate organization into a potentially severe system. Low-level warm air advection has supported an increase in convective coverage.

Further details are available from the Storm Prediction Center, including a discussion of the convective cluster's development and potential impacts.